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Emerging Destinations
Market Report, September 2005, 1795 €

Description

About this reportTourist arrivals worldwide continues to grow at an impressive and encouraging rate, despite the current trepidation surrounding conflict or terrorist activities.
Travel appears to be becoming an essential, fundamental component of consumer lifestyles, and as a result a minor shortfall of 0.5% in 2001 has been the only negative performance in global arrivals in recent years.
According to the World Tourism Organization (WTO), between 1995 and 2002, tourist arrivals worldwide grew by approximately 27.6%.
This report aims to identify and profile those destinations where the rate of increase has been extraordinary in this period – where arrivals have doubled, trebled or even quadrupled.
Utilising the regional definitions of the WTO, Mintel provides a report with extensive variety and scope in geographic coverage of the featured countries.
These include: Bulgaria Cambodia Costa Rica Croatia Lebanon Mongolia Republic of Namibia Slovenia Tanzania Turks & Caicos Islands.
Mintel’s analysis provides travel industry professionals and investors with a unique insight into how the travel industry is developing in these countries, and the changing face of international tourism.

Sommaire

Contents

Introduction

Figure 1: Arrivals in emerging destinations, 1995-2002

Bulgaria

Introduction

Background

Data sources

Attractions

Tourism and the economy

Figure 2: Bulgaria tourism balance, 1999-2002

Arrivals

Figure 3: Tourist arrivals in Bulgaria (leisure and recreation), 1999-2003

Figure 4: Total arrivals at frontiers, by country of origin, 2002-03

Market characteristics

Purpose of visit

Figure 5: Arrivals of foreign citizens, by purpose of visit, 1999-2002

Figure 6: Arrivals by purpose of visit and country of origin, 2003

MICE venues

Figure 7: Selected Bulgarian MICE venues, 2004

Seasonality

Figure 8: Arrivals by month, 2002-03

Travel trade

Accommodation

Capacity

Figure 9: Hotel capacity by sector, 2002

Figure 10: Bulgaria accommodation capacity by region, 2003

Overnights and revenue

Figure 11: Bulgaria accommodation: arrivals and revenue, 2003

Transport

Air

Sofia Airport

Air Bulgaria

Rail

Organisation of tourism

Structure

Ministry of Economy

The National Tourist Board

Bulgarian Tourist Chamber (BTC) ‘Bulgaria Travel’

New heritage

Modern attractions

The Bulgarian Association of Travel Agents

Bulgarian Hotel and Restaurant Association

Bulgarian Association for Alternative Tourism (BAAT)

Bulgarian Association for Rural and Ecological Tourism (BARET)

Management

Seaside tourism

Skiing tourism

Balneology tourism

Figure 12: Selected balneology resorts in Bulgaria, 2004

Cultural tourism

Figure 13: Bulgaria’s UNESCO heritage sites, 2004

Cultural involvement

Ecological and sustainable tourism

Definitions and guidelines

Management and programmes

Figure 14: Bulgarian ‘Eco-paths’ in 2004

National Ecotourism Strategy and Action Plan

Figure 15: National Ecotourism Strategy and Action Plan Activities, by region, 2004

Industry insight

Outlook

Figure 16: International tourist arrivals (leisure and recreation) and tourism receipts, 2001-05

Cambodia

Introduction

Data sources

Attractions

Phnom Penh

Angkor

Battambang

Kompong Luong

Phnom Udong

Other attractions

Profile of forthcoming attractions/events

Tourism and the economy

Figure 17: International tourists, arrivals and revenues in ASEAN, 1999-2003

Tourism receipts

Figure 18: International tourism receipts, 1995-2003

Numbers employed by tourism

Figure 19: Employment in travel and tourism, 1998-2003

Figure 20: Employment and GDP forecasts in the travel & tourism industry and in the travel & tourism economy for 2003 and 2013

Arrivals

Figure 21: International arrivals by source country, 2003

Figure 22: Visitor arrivals to Cambodia, 1994-2003

Figure 23: Total visitor arrivals, 2002/03

Figure 24: Top ten markets for Cambodia, 2002-03

Market characteristics

Seasonality

Length of stay

Visitor profiles

Visitor expenditure

Figure 25: Average per capita tourist expenditure, 2002-03

Accommodation

Hotel capacity

Figure 26: Number of hotels, guesthouse and room capacity and restaurants, 1998-2003

Transport

Road

Rail

Air

Shipping and fluvial transport

Organisation of tourism

Ministry of Tourism (MOT)

Recent and current promotional initiatives

Government tourism planning and policy

Government involvement in sustainable tourism

Industry insights

Forecasts

Figure 27: International visitor arrivals, 2003-10

Figure 28: National income, 2003-10

The contribution of tourism to GDP and the multiplier effect

Figure 29: Hotel room capacity requirements, 2002-10

Outlook

Future transport/infrastructure/accommodation development

Total demand

Employment

GDP

Capital investment

Personal and business travel and tourism

Exports

Figure 30: Cambodia estimates and forecasts, 2004 and 2014

Costa Rica

Introduction

Background

Data sources

Attractions

North Pacific

Central Pacific

South Pacific

Central Valley

Northern Plains

Monteverde

The Caribbean coast

National parks

Volcanoes

Turtles

Birdwatching

Tourism and the economy

Figure 31: Receipts and expenditure for international tourism, 2000-01

Figure 32: Major generators of foreign currency, 1998-2002

Figure 33: Balance of tourism account, 1993-2002

Arrivals

Figure 34: International arrivals, 2000/01

Figure 35: International arrivals, by source, 2000-02

Market characteristics

Figure 36: Arrivals by purpose of visit, 1998-2002

Figure 37: Single and group arrivals, 1998-2002

Figure 38: Frequency of visits, 1997-2000

Figure 39: Modality of trip

Seasonality

Figure 40: Seasonality of arrivals by source, 2002

Duration of stay

Figure 41: Duration of stay, 1997-2001

Activities

Figure 42: Proportion of arrivals participating in activities, 1999-2002

Business tourism

Accommodation

Figure 43: Tourism accommodation, 2000/01

Figure 44: Hotel capacity, by category and province, 2002

Figure 45: Hotel occupancies, by category and month, 2002

Transport

Arrivals by air

Figure 46: International arrivals by air, by nationality, 2000-02

Arrivals by road

Figure 47: International arrivals by road, by nationality, 2000-02

Arrivals by cruise

Figure 48: Cruises and number of passengers, 1997-2002

Organisation of tourism

Promotion

Figure 49: Tourist investment by region, 1995-2001

Figure 50: Travel agencies and tour operators

Industry insight

Outlook

Croatia

Introduction

Data sources

Attractions

Figure 51: Tourist arrivals to Croatia’s counties, 1990 and 2001-03

Figure 52: Tourist arrivals to the county of Istria, 2001-03

Figure 53: Tourist arrivals to the county of Primorje-Gorski Kotar, 2001-03

Figure 54: Tourist arrivals to the county of Split-Dalmacija, 2001-03

Figure 55: Tourist arrivals to the county of Zadar, 2001-03

Figure 56: Tourist arrivals to the county of Dubrovnik-Neretva, 2001-03

Figure 57: Tourist arrivals to the county of Šibenik-knin, 2001-03

Tourism and the economy

Figure 58: International tourism receipts, 1990-2001

Figure 59: Workforce employed in hotels and restaurants, 2001-03

Arrivals

Figure 60: Tourist arrivals to Croatia, 1990 and 1999-2003

Figure 61: International arrivals by source country, 1990 and 1999-2003

Market characteristics

Purpose of visit

Figure 62: Direct foreign investment in Croatia, 1999-2003

Figure 63: Direct foreign investment in Croatia by country, 2003 and first quarter of 2004

Length of stay

Figure 64: Average length of stay by source country, 1999-2003

Seasonality of visit

Figure 65: Seasonality of visit: international tourist arrivals by month, 1990 and 2000-04

Figure 66: Number of international tourist arrivals by month, 1990 and 2000-03

Visitor expenditure

Figure 67: International tourism receipts, 1990 and 2000-03

Business tourism

Figure 68: Key meeting, conference and exhibition venues in Croatia, 2004

Figure 69: Four- and five-star hotels with meeting, conference and exhibition facilities in Croatia, 2004

Accommodation

Figure 70: International tourists arrivals and overnights at accommodation in Croatia, by type of accommodation, 2001-02

Figure 71: Accommodation capacity and occupancy rates (all tourists), 1990 and 2001

Transport

Rail

Airports

Figure 72: No. of passengers using Zagreb Airport, 1998-2003

Ports

Cruise arrivals

Organisation of tourism

Industry insight

Outlook

Lebanon

Summary

Introduction

Data sources

Attractions

Beirut

Baalbek and Tripoli

Bcharre, the Cedars, Byblos and Tyre

Beiteddine

Skiing and other outdoor activities

Festivals

Figure 73: Main festivals in Lebanon, 2004

Visitor numbers to main attractions

Figure 74: Visitor numbers to top attractions in Lebanon, 2003-04

Tourism and the economy

Tourism receipts

Figure 75: Inbound tourism receipts in Lebanon, 1999-2003

Tourism employment

Arrivals

Figure 76: Year on year growth rates of tourist arrivals, 1998-2003

Figure 77: Tourist arrivals in Lebanon, 1998-2003

Arrivals over the period 1998-2002

Figure 78: Tourist arrivals in Lebanon, by region of origin, 2002

Figure 79: Tourist arrivals in Lebanon by main country of origin, 1998-2002

Tourist arrivals in 2004

Figure 80: Tourist arrivals in Lebanon, January-May 2004

Market characteristics

Mode of transport

Figure 81: Tourist arrivals in Lebanon by mode of transport, 2003 (est)

Figure 82: Mode of transport used to travel to Lebanon, 1999-2003

Length of stay

Figure 83: Length of stay (in accommodation establishments), 1999-2002

Business tourism

Figure 84: Forthcoming business/trade exhibitions in Lebanon, 2004-05

Accommodation

Hotel capacity

Figure 85: Hotel rooms, bedplaces and occupancy rates, 1998-2002

Distribution by region and grade

Figure 86: Distribution of hotel accommodation, by region and type, 2004

Transport

Domestic transport

International air transport

Figure 87: Passenger movements (in and out) at Beirut International Airport, 1998-2004

International land transport

Organisation of tourism

Ministry of tourism

Promotional campaigns and marketing initiatives

Industry insight

Outlook

Mongolia

Summary

Introduction

Data sources

Background

Attractions

Tourism zones and related attractions

Zone A: West

Zone B: Zavhan Huvsgul

Zone C: Orkhon Valley

Zone D: Central

Zone E: Eastern

Visitation patterns

Figure 88: Visitors to leading attractions and destinations, 2003

Festivals and events

Tsagaan Sar – January or February

Ice Festival – February

Thousand Camel Festival – February

Mini Naadam – June and July

Mongolian International Friendship Marathon – June

Horse Riding Festival – June

Sunrise to Sunset International Ultra Marathon – June

The Naadam Festival – July

Mongolian Autumn Fishing Festival – September

Eagles’ Festival – October

Tourism and the economy

Growth of tourism

Figure 89: International tourism receipts, 1999-2003

Arrivals

Figure 90: Annual visitor arrivals, 1993-2003

Figure 91: Total foreign tourist arrivals, 1993-2003

Major markets

Figure 92: Foreign visitor arrivals by region, 1999-2003

Figure 93: Arrivals from top 15 countries, 1999-2003

Market characteristics

Purpose of visit

Figure 94: Visitor arrivals by purpose of visit, 1998 and 2002

Figure 95: Purpose of visit by country, 2002

Length of stay

Figure 96: Length of stay by purpose of visit, 1998 and 2002

Figure 97: Length of stay by major markets in 2002

Visitor profile by gender and age

Figure 98: Visitor profile by gender and market in 2002

Figure 99: Visitors by age and market in 2002

Visit motivators

Figure 100: Main reasons for choosing to visit by market, 2002

Seasonality

Figure 101: Visitor arrivals by month, 2003

Visitor expenditures

Figure 102: Average per person and daily expenditures by travel arrangement and market, 2002

Meeting and convention tourism

Accommodation

Ger camps

Figure 103: Tourist camp capacity, 2002-03

Figure 104: Hotel and room inventory by region, 1998-2002

Transport

Road

Air

MIAT Mongolian Airline

Figure 105: Summary of MIAT Mongolian airline activity, 1998-2003

Figure 106: Passenger arrivals from international cities, 1998-2001

Railway

Organisation of tourism

National tourism plan

Promotion

Development of protected areas

Role of the travel trade

Industry insight

Outlook

Republic of Namibia

Summary

Introduction

Data sources

A note on statistics

Attractions

Visitors to leading attractions

Forthcoming attractions/events

Tourism and the economy

Employment

Arrivals

Figure 107: Arrivals by region and nationality, 1996-2001

African continent

European markets

Rest of world

Figure 108: Number of tourists arrivals by nationality, 2002 and 2003

Market characteristics

Purpose of visit

Figure 109: Purpose of visit, 2002-03

Length of stay

Figure 110: Average number of overnights in Namibia, by country of residence

Visitor profile

Figure 111: Age profile of tourist arrivals in Namibia, 2002

Gender

Figure 112: International tourist arrivals, by gender, 2002

Seasonality

Figure 113: Seasonal arrivals, 2002-03

Figure 114: Monthly arrivals by nationality, 2003*

Visitor expenditure

Profile of MICE venues

Accommodation

Capacity

Figure 115: Accommodation type, by market share, 2002

Occupancy

Figure 116: Average national occupancy rates of HAN establishments, early 2004

Hotel performance

Average room rate?

Transport

International arrivals by mode of travel/port of entry

Figure 117: Mode of entry, by nationality, 2003*

Figure 118: Arrivals by port of entry, 2003*

Passenger arrivals (scheduled/non-scheduled) at major airports

Travel within Namibia

Profiles of airport, rail, port facilities

Organisation of tourism

Promotion

Market potential

Industry insight

Outlook

Forecast data

Future transport/infrastructure/accommodation developments

Slovenia

Introduction

Data sources

Attractions

Figure 119: Top ten tourist sights, 2003

Tourism and the economy

Arrivals

Figure 120: Tourist arrivals in Slovenia, 1985-2003

Figure 121: Tourist arrivals in Slovenia, by source country, 1985-1998

Figure 122: Tourist arrivals in Slovenia, by source country, 1999-2003

Purpose of visit

Length of stay

Figure 123: Length of stay in Slovenia, 1985-1998

Figure 124: Length of stay in Slovenia, 1999-2003

Seasonality of visit

Figure 125: Seasonality of visit to Slovenia, 2003

Visitor expenditure

Figure 126: Average daily expenditure, by international tourists, summer 2003

Business tourism

Figure 127: Conference centres and conference hotels in Slovenia, summer 2004

Accommodation

Figure 128: Occupancy rates broken down, by category, 2003

Figure 129: Average room rate, 2004

Slovenian health resorts

Transport

Figure 130: Number of passengers travelling in Slovenia, 1970-2002

Figure 131: Freight transport in Slovenia, 1970-2002

Air

Figure 132: Cross-border air traffic, 1999-2002

Rail network

Figure 133: Railway passengers in the Republic of Slovenia, 1990-2002

Figure 134: Cross-border rail traffic, 1999-2002

Road network

Figure 135: Passengers travelling by road in Slovenia, 1990-2002

Figure 136: Cross-border road traffic, 1999-2002

Port facilities

Figure 137: Passenger traffic in Slovenian harbours, 1990-2002

Organisation of tourism

Industry insight

Outlook

Tanzania

Introduction

Data sources

Background

Tourism and the economy

Growth of tourism

Figure 138: International tourism receipts, 1995-2003

Arrivals

Figure 139: International visitor arrivals, 1995-2003

Figure 140: International visitors, 1995-2003

Major markets

Figure 141: International visitor arrivals, by region, 1999-2003

Figure 142: Arrivals from top 15 countries, 1999-2003

Market characteristics

Purpose of visit

Figure 143: Visitor arrivals by purpose of visit (%), 1999-2003

Length of stay

Figure 144: Average length of stay, 1999-2003

Visitor profile by gender and age

Seasonality

Figure 145: Visitor arrivals, by month, 1999-2003

Figure 146: Visitor arrivals, by month, 2003

Visitor expenditures

Figure 147: Average daily expenditure per visitor, 1999-2003

Frequency of visits and inclination to return

Figure 148: Frequency of visit

Figure 149: Inclination to visit Tanzania again

Suggested visitor improvements

Figure 150: Areas of improvement as suggested, by visitors, 2001/02

Business/meeting and convention tourism

Attractions

Figure 151: Annual visitors to Tanzanian national parks, 1999-2003

Figure 152: Annual visitors to Ngorongoro conservation area, 1999-2003

Profile of forthcoming attractions

Events likely to have an impact on arrivals

Accommodation

Figure 153: Number of hotels and annual lodging occupancy, 1999-2002

Transport

Air

Figure 154: Visitor arrivals, by mode of transport, 1999-2003

Figure 155: International visitors, by mode of transport, 2003

Road

Rail

Cruises

Organisation of tourism

Industry insight

Outlook

Product diversification

Infrastructure improvements

Destination image

Turks and Caicos Islands

Summary

Introduction

Background

Data sources

Attractions

Natural attractions

JoJo, the dolphin

Glow worms

Iguana sanctuary

Conch farm

Flamingo pond

Whale watching

Diving

Cruise market

Weddings and honeymoon market

Upcoming events

Tourism and the economy

Figure 156: International tourism receipts, 1998-2002

Arrivals

Annual trends

Figure 157: Total tourist arrivals, 1994-2003

Figure 158: Annual tourist arrivals, 1994-2003

Figure 159: Tourist arrivals for January-April, 2003-04

Major markets

Figure 160: Tourist arrivals, by region, 1999-2003

Figure 161: International arrivals, by top 10 source markets, 1999-2003

Market characteristics

Purpose of visit

Figure 162: Purpose of visit, 2003

Length of stay

Figure 163: Visitor arrivals by length of stay, 1999-2003

Figure 164: Average length of stay, by major countries, 2003

Visitor profile by age, gender and occupation

Figure 165: Tourist arrivals, by occupation, 2003

Figure 166: Tourist arrivals, by age group, 2003

Seasonality of visit

Figure 167: Tourist arrivals, by month, 2002-03

Visitor expenditures

Business tourism

Accommodation

Figure 168: Hotel capacity, by location, 2004

Figure 169: Hotel capacity, by property and location, 2004

Figure 170: Hotel occupancy rate, by month and hotel category, 2002-03

Transport

Figure 171: Air and sea passenger arrivals, by carrier and country of origin, 2003

Airports

Cruises

Figure 172: Cruise passenger arrivals on Grand Turk, 1999-2003

Figure 173: Cruise passenger arrivals on Grand Turk, 2003

Organisation of tourism

The Turks and Caicos Tourism Board

Turks and Caicos Hotel and Tourism Association

Marketing

Industry insight

Outlook

New resort development

Provo

Grand Turk

Water Cay

North Caicos and South Caicos

West Caicos

Transport and infrastructure development

Human resource development

New markets

Sustainable tourism

General outlook