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2005 Global Wireless Broadband - Moving Towards WiMAX Mobility
Market Report, May 2005, 250  €


Description

Executive SummaryWireless broadband allows new operators to avoid the stranglehold that the incumbent carrier has on the local access market.
As the telecoms market is rapidly moving in the direction of broadband, the stakes are much higher than simple telephone calls.
Even if you get the incumbent’s cooperation, it can take as long as six months before business customers in CBDs can be connected to a fibre network.
In areas where wireless broadband is available, this can be done in days, sometimes even within hours.
Customer demand for more bandwidth and regulatory emphasis on deregulation and competition has boosted interest in wireless broadband as an alternative access technology to the local loop.After the proprietary systems of the 1990s, spread spectrum systems start to emerge in the early 00s.
Initially WiFi was heavily hyped as a last mile technology.
For small range uses such as networks within houses and offices etc, it has been successful, and is continuing to find markets.
However, in public places such as hotels, railway stations, restaurants etc, the growth has been more subdued, due to its short range, the perception of lack of security, lack of standardisation between hotspots, high usage costs and the increasing number of free hotspots.
Apart from its success in business venues WiFi remains to attract only very small number of users, often on a monthly bases less than 100 users per hot spot per month.WiMAX stands for Worldwide Interoperability for Microwave Access.
It is the latest, and most-hyped, generation of fixed wireless technology, and is poised to provide a solutions to the major impediments to WiFi, namely standardisation and range.
WiMAX launched itself as a potential alternative to fixed broadband services.
However the lack of standards and commercially viable consumer equipment has seen the early opportunity for mass market deployment evaporate.
The next opportunity is to develop a 4G solution, combining mobile technologies and wireless technologies to address markets such as wireless data, telemetry, RFID and a range of other new services that will emerge around this 4G concept.
The future of WiMAX still looks bright and will evolve around a mixture of fixed broadband alternatives, especially in regional areas and, with added mobility, as a 4G technology.This report also examines the development of wireless broadband from a wireless PBX technology into WLAN - a flexible data communication network that can operate as an extension to, or instead of, a wired LAN in a building.
Revolving around the earth in different orbits, satellites perform such diverse tasks as meteorology, navigation, remote sensing and communications.
Despite many attempts to launch satellites into new areas such as the Internet and broadband, its core business remains long-haul bulk comms traffic and TV broadcasting.
For the rest satellite remains a niche market successfully serving remote and rural customers, mining companies, ships at sea and so on.
Nevertheless technologies are moving on and no doubt year after year the industry will continue to promise: next year will be the year of the satellite.


Sommaire
 


1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
2. WIRELESS BROADBAND - OVERVIEW AND ANALYSES - 2005
2.1 The challenges of wireless broadband
2.2 Wireless broadband will crack 100% penetration
2.3 Broadband developments – 2005
2.3.1 Portable broadband
2.3.2 Prepaid wireless
2.3.3 New technologies will lead a push for spectrum to be opened up
2.4 The promises
2.4.1 Bypassing the fixed local loop
2.4.2 Clear benefits
2.5 The problems (analysis)
2.5.1 Dozens of competing technologies
2.5.2 Questionable qualities
2.5.3 The economics of wireless
2.6 Opportunities
2.6.1 Slow moving incumbents
2.6.2 Room for a 20% marketshare
2.7 WLANs creating another bubble?
2.7.1 Few regulatory restrictions attracts different players
2.8 Build your own WiFi business
2.9 WiFi is dead – long live WiMAX
3. INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENTS
3.1 Infrastructure options
3.2 Bypassing the fixed network bottleneck
3.3 The concept of Wireless Local Loop (WLL)
3.4 applications
3.5 Mobile-based infrastructure
3.5.1 Fixed/mobile telephone substitution
3.5.2 GPRS/3G
3.5.3 4G: WiFi/GPRS/3G combination
3.5.4 Is there a role for 3G in broadband?
3.6 Fixed wireless broadband Infrastructure (1st generation)
3.6.1 Introduction
3.6.2 Local Multipoint Distribution Services (LMDS)
3.6.3 Multichannel Multipoint Distribution System (MMDS)
3.7 Digital TV
3.8 Spread spectrum infrastructure
3.8.1 WiFi and WiMAX
3.8.2 In house WLANs
3.8.3 Applications for WLANs
3.8.4 Interoperability problems
4. WLANS, WIFI
4.1 The promise of wireless broadband
4.2 Hotspots – business market
4.2.1 Global WiFi network
4.2.2 Pent-up demand for wireless access in the business market
4.2.3 Key players and early developments
4.2.4 iPass
4.2.5 Not always smooth sailing
4.2.6 Collapse of WiFi start-up companies
4.3 Japan and Korea first to Move into to the residential market
4.4 Developments in wireless broadband
4.4.1 Voice over WLAN (VoWLAN)
4.4.2 UWB
4.4.3 Portable hotspots
4.4.4 MIMO smart antenna
4.4.5 Taxation of WiFi
4.5 Security concerns
4.5.1 Security
4.5.2 WLAN viruses
4.5.3 Problems with the Chinese WAPI standard
4.6 Industry consortia
4.6.1 Wireless USB Promoter Group/WiMedia Alliance
4.6.2 The WiFi Alliance
4.6.3 Wireless Broadband Alliance (WBA)
4.6.4 Digital Home Working Group (DHWG)
4.6.5 WLAN Smart Card Consortium
4.6.6 Zigbee
4.6.7 UMA
4.7 Market statistics and forecasts
4.7.1 WiFi reports from 2005
4.7.2 WiFi reports from 2004
5. WIMAX
5.1 Introduction
5.1.1 Reception by the market
5.1.2 Will it become a commercial reality?
5.2 Key projects and developments
5.2.1 Intel’s WiMAX chip
5.2.2 International WiMAX boost from Clearwire
5.2.3 Rural trials in the UK
5.2.4 First Australian WiMAX project goes live
5.3 Market forecasts
5.3.1 Reports from 2005
5.3.2 Reports from 2004
5.4 Industry consortia
5.4.1 WiMAX (World Interoperability for Microwave Access)
5.5 Flarion 802.16/20
5.5.1 Introduction
5.5.2 Flarion vs. EV DO
5.6 Analyses 2005
5.6.1 WiMAX to replace 3G?
5.6.2 The wireless and BPL alternative?
5.6.3 The WiMAX backbone alternative
5.6.4 Voice over WIMAX
5.6.5 WiFi vs WiMAX
5.6.6 Backlash from the incumbents?
6. SATELLITE NETWORKS
6.1 Introduction
6.2 Major players
6.3 Another year passes for the satellite market
6.4 Revenue statistics
6.4.1 Reports from 2004
6.4.2 Reports from 2003
6.5 Forecasts
6.5.1 Northern Sky Research (2004)
6.5.2 Northern Sky Research (2003)
6.5.3 Futron (2003)
6.6 Geostationary, LEO, MEO and HEO satellites
6.6.1 The rise and fall of LEOs and MEOs
6.6.2 First generation GEO satellites
6.7 Direct Broadcasting Services
6.7.1 Introduction
6.7.2 Multi-feed satellite dishes
6.8 Regulations
6.9 Ka-Band Satellite
6.9.1 Preparing for a global data network
6.9.2 What is KA-Band
6.9.3 Market issues
6.9.4 Internet-in-the-sky
6.9.5 Network issues
6.9.6 Industry issues
6.9.7 Market forecasts
6.9.8 Players and projects
7. 3G MOBILES WIRELESS ALTERNATIVE
7.1 What is 3G?
7.2 The future of 3G
7.2.1 The mobile future is in voice
7.2.2 3G to support voice
7.2.3 3G to keep the ARPU up
7.3 Mobile structural separation needed for survival
7.4 Possible 3G strategies
7.4.1 Disrupting the mobile market
7.4.2 Maintaining ARPUs
7.4.3 Five-year strategy
7.5 Shifting paradigms
7.5.1 Early developments since the 1980s
7.5.2 Infrastructure upgrade
7.5.3 Infrastructure developments - 2004
7.5.4 WiFi/GPRS/3G combination
7.6 Business realities
7.6.1 Mobile data remains a niche market
7.6.2 Efficiency gains
7.6.3 Value add in corporate markets
7.6.4 Lack of standards for applications
7.6.5 Few other business cases
7.7 The essential role that 3G can play
7.7.1 Debunking the hype
7.7.2 3G requires new business models
7.7.3 Technological revolution
7.7.4 What is the role of WAP?
7.7.5 What is the role of HSCSD and GPRS?
7.7.6 Summary
7.8 Multiple terminal applications
8. REGIONAL OVERVIEWS
8.1 USA
8.1.1 WLANs (WiFi)
8.1.2 Fixed Wireless Access (FWA)
8.1.3 WiMAX
8.1.4 Satellite broadband
8.2 Canada
8.2.1 Local Multipoint Communication Systems (LMCS)
8.2.2 Wireless Local Area Networks (WLANs)
8.2.3 WiFi
8.3 Latin America
8.3.1 WiFi and WiMAX
8.4 Europe
8.4.1 Market overview
8.4.2 Allied Business Intelligence research and forecasts
8.4.3 IBM research
8.4.4 WiFi
8.4.5 Bluetooth
8.4.6 Internet via satellite
8.4.7 Local Multipoint Distribution Service (LMDS)
8.5 Eastern Europe
8.5.1 Czech Republic
8.5.2 Poland
8.5.3 Russia, the Ukraine and the Baltic states
8.6 Africa
8.6.1 Fixed wireless services
8.6.2 Sentech’s MyWireless (South Africa)
8.6.3 iBurst by WBS (South Africa)
8.6.4 WiFi
8.6.5 WiMAX
8.6.6 Internet via satellite
8.7 Asia
8.7.1 Overview
8.7.2 WiFi Alliances
8.7.3 WiFi Roaming
8.7.4 Forecasts
8.7.5 Broadband Wireless Access (BWA)
8.7.6 WLAN Authentication and Privacy Infrastructure (WAPI)
8.7.7 Satellite Internet
8.8 The Middle East
8.8.1 Israel
8.8.2 Bahrain
8.8.3 Jordan
8.8.4 Kuwait
8.8.5 Lebanon
8.8.6 Oman
8.8.7 United Arab Emirates
8.9 Australia
8.9.1 Wireless broadband opportunities for the next ten years
8.9.2 Wireless broadband forecast
8.9.3 Major players
8.9.4 Hot Spot market
8.10 New Zealand
8.10.1 Overview
8.10.2 Satellite
8.10.3 Major players
8.10.4 Broadband in the regions
9. GLOSSARY OF ABBREVIATIONS


Exhibit 1 – Comparison of access platforms’ advantages and disadvantages
Exhibit 2 – WiMAX
Exhibit 3 – Major fixed satellite service operators
Exhibit 4 – Comparison of orbit for global mobile personal communications systems
Exhibit 5 – Satellite dishes
Exhibit 6 – Frequency spectrum allocation for common commercial US SATCOM bands
Exhibit 7 – Top ten WiFi hotspots operators – March 2005
Exhibit 8 – Major WiFi hotspot operators around the world – April 2005
Exhibit 9 – IEEE approved WiFi standards – March 2005
Exhibit 10 – Overview of European hotspots – May 2004




Table 1 - Global wireless broadband market subscribers - 2003 - 2008
Table 2 - Wireless broadband market share by region - 2005
Table 3 – US wireless ARPU and EBITDA projections – 2005; 2008
Table 4 – WLAN 802.11 total market by vendor – Q4 2003
Table 5 – Satellite industry revenues by segment – 1996 - 2003
Table 6 – Satellite services revenues by user – 1996 - 2003
Table 7 – Revenue predictions – 1998 - 2005
Table 8 – Public WiFi hotspots - top 10 countries, cities and location types – March 2005
Table 9 – Projected FWA subscribers – 2002 - 2007
Table 10 – ABI forecasts of WLAN chipset demand in Europe – 2001; 2003; 2007
Table 11 – No. of Asian WiFi hotspots – 2002 - 2003
Table 12 – Asian WiFi market forecasts – 2003, 2008
Table 13 – WLAN revenue forecasts for Asia – 2003 - 2009
Table 14 - Subscriber statistics early 2005
Table 15 – Public WLAN or Hotspot users – 2003 - 2008
Table 16 – Hotspot services market forecast – 2003 - 2008
Table 17 – WLAN hardware market forecast – 2003 - 2008
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