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2005-2006 Asia - Telecoms Investment Opportunities China-India
Market Report, October 2005, 415  €


Description

During September and October 2005 I visited both China and India and this gave me a unique opportunity to look at these two emerging markets.During both visits I was able to participate in the local debates and share my views with colleagues and customers in these countries through strategic workshops, Roundtables and participations in conferences.In this report I share my first-hand experiences, covering not just the telecoms and media markets, but also very much the environment in which they operate.
Any investment in these markets requires a detailed understanding of this background; this report addresses those issues.Initially I had the intention of drawing comparisons between China and India, but as I reached a better understanding of the developments in the two countries, these comparisons became less relevant, as the two markets are very different from each other.
They have, in fact, very little in common.To complete the picture, in addition to the statistics I gathered while I was over there, I have included in this report some statistics from the research reports we publish on the two countries.

Sommaire
 


1. CHINA
1.1 Introduction
1.2 China revisited
1.3 Great hospitality
1.4 Broader issues
1.5 Business restructuring
1.6 Telecommunications market
1.6.1 Key statistics
1.6.2 Telecoms industry restructuring
1.6.3 Chinese telcos expanding overseas
1.6.4 Structural separation
1.7 Mobile communications
1.7.1 3G – The debate needs to be widened
1.7.2 Beijing Olympics – TD-SCDMA launch, or not?
1.7.3 Is 3G needed?
1.8 Broadband
1.8.1 No debate on wireless broadband
1.8.2 Opportunities for fixed network operators
1.8.3 Rapid growth of broadband TV
1.8.4 Competition needed to drive the market further
1.9 First democratic election
1.10 Forecasting statistics – China
1.10.1 Fixed line forecasts – China
1.10.2 Mobile forecasts – China
1.10.3 Internet and broadband forecasts – China
2. INDIA
2.1 Introduction
2.2 Soon to be the most populous country on earth
2.3 Diverse country and markets
2.4 Serious reforms are urgently needed
2.5 Rising middle class
2.6 Future depends on rural development
2.7 Failures of democracy
2.8 Infamous bureaucracy
2.9 Progress in chaos
2.10 Much work to do
2.11 Telecoms in India
2.11.1 Introduction
2.11.2 Key statistics
2.11.3 Transforming society
2.11.4 Policies and regulations
2.11.5 Regional telecoms
2.11.6 Spectrum reform
2.11.7 BPL
2.11.8 Wireless projects
2.12 The media market
2.12.1 Overview of the media market
2.12.2 Printed media
2.12.3 Broadcasting market
2.12.4 Media independence
2.12.5 Population and democracy – a powerful media mix
2.12.6 New Media
2.13 Forecasting statistics – India
2.13.1 Fixed line forecasts – India
2.13.2 Mobile forecasts – India
2.13.3 Internet and broadband forecasts – India
2.14 Summary
3. CHINA – V – INDIA
3.1 Democracy –v – Communism
3.2 Either/or
3.3 Improvements in Chinese cities
3.4 Indian innovations
3.5 Go forth and multiply
3.6 Investment issues
3.7 Communist flexibility –v– Indian bureaucracy
3.8 Where democracy fails
3.9 English language advantage
3.10 Economic –v – social growth
3.11 Global consequences
3.12 Lessons for India and China
4. RELATED REPORTS


Exhibit 1 – Restructuring Scenario 1
Exhibit 2 – Restructuring Scenario 2
Exhibit 3 – 3G Licence Contenders
Exhibit 4 – 3G Licence Technology




Table 1 – Country statistics – 2005
Table 2 – Telecom revenue and investment statistics – 2004
Table 3 – Telephone network statistics – 2005
Table 4 – Internet provider statistics – 2005
Table 5 – Internet user statistics – 2005
Table 6 – Broadband statistics – 2005
Table 7 – Mobile statistics* – 2005
Table 8 – National telecommunications authorities
Table 9 – Fixed line penetration – optimistic and conservative estimates – 2005; 2010; 2015
Table 10 – Mobile penetration – optimistic and conservative estimates – 2005; 2010; 2015
Table 11 – Internet penetration – optimistic and conservative estimates – 2005; 2010; 2015
Table 12 – Country statistics – 2005
Table 13 – Telephone network statistics – 2005
Table 14 – Internet provider statistics – 2004
Table 15 – Internet user statistics – 2005
Table 16 – Broadband statistics – 2005
Table 17 – Mobile statistics – 2005
Table 18 – National telecommunications authorities
Table 19 – Telecoms subscribers India – October 2005
Table 20 – Net Telecoms subscriber additions – India – September 2005
Table 21 – Telecoms subscriber additions – India – September 2005 key SPs
Table 22 – Fixed line penetration – optimistics and conservative estimates – 2005; 2010; 2015
Table 23 – Mobile penetration – optimistic and conservative estimates – 2005; 2010; 2015
Table 24 – Internet subscription penetration – optimistic and conservative estimates – 2005; 2010; 2015
Table 25 – India – v – China – media and telecoms statistics - 2005
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